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Research

Trends and insights that enable our clients to make
value-driven decisions for their real estate.

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 21

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 21

U.S. EV Sales by Year

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 20

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 20

Which School Would Win CRE's Student Housing Rent Growth March Madness?

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 19 Part 1

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 19

Historical Fed Funds Rate and CPI

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 19 Part 2

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 19

1-Month SOFR Forward Curves

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 19 Part 3

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 19

Cap Rate vs. CMBS Yield

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 18

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 18

Online Holiday Spend by Year

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 17

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 17

The Phillips Curve

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 16

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 16

ODCE Allocation Shifts

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 15

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 15

Florida Migration

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 14

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 14

Monthly Multifamily Rent Growth Trend by Year

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 13

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 13

Which City Would Win CRE's Rent Growth Super Bowl?

Resident Change By State

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 12

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 12

Resident Change By State

Truck Driver per 1,000 Jobs by State

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 11

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 11

Truck Driver per 1,000 Jobs by State

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 10

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 10

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 10

Decade of U.S. Population Deceleration

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 09

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 09

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 09

Top 15 Real Estate Transaction Volumes

Home Price vs Multifamily Rent Growth by Market

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 08

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 08

Home Price vs Multifamily Rent Growth by Market

3Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET

3Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET

3Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET

Strong Momentum in the Industrial Sector Accelerates Through the Pandemic

The industrial sector experienced increased demand from both tenants and investors over the past year, particularly for modern buildings in strategic infill locations, due to pandemic-resistant growth drivers.

2Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET​

2Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET

2Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET​

Down but Not Out: Leisure Drives the Emerging Hotel Recovery

Although the COVID-19 effects were severe, pent-up demand for the leisure travel sector kicked off the hotel recovery and provided a foundation for growth. As with each prior recession, the industry learned new and better ways to operate and will be stronger as a result.

Multifamily annual rent growth by bedroom

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 07

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 07

Multifamily Annual Rent Growth by Bedroom

daily lumber futures pricing at close

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 06

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 06

Daily Lumber Futures Pricing at Close

Quarterly Rent Growth by Property Type

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 05

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 05

Quarterly Rent Growth by Property Type

5C's of Returning to the Office

TRENDS & OBSERVATIONS

TRENDS & OBSERVATIONS

The 5 C’s of Returning to the Office

1Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET

1Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET

1Q 2021 | STATE OF THE MARKET

Home Is Not Where The Office Is

Dive into the office sector’s performance, headwinds, tailwinds, and the future of office space needs. While there are certainly challenges for the office sector in the near-term, the need for office continues to evolve and will not disappear.

U.S. Migration, 2019-2020

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 04

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 04

Migration Flows Between Regions, 2019-2020

Median household income vs. multifamily rent growth

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 03

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 03

Median Household Income vs. Multifamily Rent Growth (2015-2020)

U.S. Housing Starts Over Time

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 02

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 02

U.S. Housing Starts Over Time

Thomas James Homes Residential

TRENDS & OBSERVATIONS

TRENDS & OBSERVATIONS

Residential Rising Tide: Exploring Housing Demand in High Growth Markets

Change in Resident Population

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 1

CHART FOR THOUGHT | NO. 01

Change in Resident Population

Food Service Takeout

4Q 2020 | STATE OF THE MARKET

4Q 2020 | STATE OF THE MARKET

Road to Retail Recovery: A Divergent Outlook and Adapting to Survive Covid-19

The sector must continue to anticipate what a post-pandemic world will look like and transform as they have been during the pandemic to stay current and survive this new reality.

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Dennis Grzeskowiak

Principal

Mr. Grzeskowiak co-founded Bellwether in 2013 and has 20 years of experience in asset management and special servicing. At Bellwether, Mr. Grzeskowiak focuses on portfolio management and technology initiatives, with particular asset management expertise in debt as well as multifamily equity investments totaling over 33k units. Prior to forming Bellwether, he was Vice President of Asset Management at Trimont Real Estate Advisors, where he was responsible for a $2bn portfolio of performing and non-performing commercial real estate investments related to multiple property types throughout the United States. During his time at Trimont, Mr. Grzeskowiak developed a proprietary valuation cash flow model used to analyze over $30bn of debt and equity investments. Mr. Grzeskowiak has a B.A. in Economics and International Studies from Rhodes College.

Joe Mossotti

Principal

Mr. Mossotti co-founded Bellwether in 2013 and currently focuses on residential, corporate, development and hotel investments throughout the United States. Prior to founding Bellwether, he worked in the Asset Management / Portfolio Management group at JER Partners, a Washington D.C. based private equity firm. At JER, he was responsible for investment- and fund- level modeling as well as the disposition and workout of the remaining portfolio. Before joining JER, Mr. Mossotti worked at Billy Casper Golf Management. Mr. Mossotti holds a B.S. in Finance from Siena College, and is a licensed CPA.

Mitch Magoshi

Managing Director, Construction

Mr. Magoshi joined Bellwether Asset Management in 2018 after 15 years of experience in the construction industry. Prior to joining Bellwether, he most recently worked as a senior consultant with Gardiner & Theobald, Inc., an international construction project and cost management firm. Before joining G&T, Mr. Magoshi was a Construction Manager and Partner at Plant Construction Company, L.P., a leading general contractor in the San Francisco Bay Area. At Plant, he was involved in all aspects of the construction process from business development and preconstruction to project management and site supervision. Mr. Magoshi holds a B.S. degree in Business Administration with a minor in Architecture from Carnegie Mellon University.

Omar Vargas

Senior Vice President, Controller

Mr. Vargas joined Bellwether Asset Management, Inc. in 2018 and has over 15 years of professional experience. Prior to joining Bellwether, he was the Corporate Controller at Landmark Dividend LLC, a Los Angeles based real estate company. At Landmark Dividend, he was responsible for all aspects of the accounting, financial reporting, and asset management functions. Before joining Landmark Dividend, Mr. Vargas was an Audit Senior Manager at Deloitte, where he was responsible for overseeing various teams on real estate advisory services. Mr. Vargas holds a B.S. in Accounting from California State University, Long Beach, and is a licensed CPA.

Carolyn Leslie

Managing Director, Equity

Ms. Leslie joined Bellwether in August 2020 and is primarily responsible for the asset management of west coast office investments.  She has twenty years of commercial real estate investment experience, most recently as the Director of Asset Management at Atlas Capital Group, a New York based owner and developer, and oversaw the redevelopment of ROW DTLA.  Before joining Atlas Capital Group, she was at Watt Companies as a Senior Asset Manager responsible for an office, retail and multifamily portfolio.  Ms. Leslie has a B.A in economics from Vanderbilt University and an M.B.A from Pepperdine University’s Graziadio Business School.

Patrick Foley

Principal

Mr. Foley joined Bellwether in 2014 and is currently responsible for coverage of corporate, development and residential investments in the United States. Prior to joining Bellwether, he was an associate at Cross Properties, a Philadelphia based multifamily developer. Mr. Foley has a B.S. in Economics with a concentration in Finance from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.

Benjamin Easton

Managing Director, Equity

Mr. Easton joined Bellwether in April 2014, after having spent two years at NMS Properties, a Los Angeles based multifamily company. Prior experience includes two years at Mesa West Capital, a Los Angeles based commercial real estate finance company. Mr. Easton began his career in Los Angeles working in brokerage in 2007. He holds a B.A. degree in International Business from Loyola Marymount University.

David Chalison

Principal

Mr. Chalison joined Bellwether in 2016 and is responsible for supporting portfolio management functions for Bellwether’s institutional clients. Prior to joining Bellwether, he was Director of FP&A at Chronos Solutions, a Texas-based mortgage service company. Mr. Chalison received a B.S. in Finance from Santa Clara University and holds an M.B.A. from Loyola Marymount University.

Chris Carlson

Senior Vice President, Structured Finance

Mr. Carlson joined Bellwether Asset Management in July 2014 and is currently a Senior Vice President responsible for the performing residential whole loan strategy. He has fourteen years of experience in structured products and the secondary mortgage market. Prior to joining Bellwether, he was a risk analyst with Western Asset Management, where he was responsible for analytics on a $50bn portfolio of whole loans, structured mortgage products and private corporate investments. Mr. Carlson began his career as a member of the Fannie Mae Analyst program in 2005. He has an M.B.A. from UCLA Anderson and a B.A. in Economics and Philosophy from Washington & Lee University.

Michael Baracco

Principal

Mr. Baracco has been a part of Bellwether since its inception and is currently responsible for asset management coverage of office and hotel investments. Prior to joining Bellwether, he was a Senior Project Engineer at Lockheed Martin Corp. where he supported and ensured successful execution of multi-billion dollar contracts including satellites, flight modernization systems, and submarines. Mr. Baracco has an M.B.A. from the University of Denver and a B.S. in Physics from Washington & Lee University.